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Asher
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   Posted 10/23/2010 7:08 PM (GMT -6)    Quote This PostAlert An Admin About This Post.
A Calvinist acquaintance recently presented this argument by Alexander Pruss of Baylor University.

1. (Premise) If p is overwhelmingly probable on the balance of God's evidence, then God believes p.
2. (Premise) If open theism is true, then some of the propositions that are overwhelmingly probable on the balance
of God's evidence are false.
3. Therefore, if open theism is true, God believes some falsehoods.
4. (Premise) God believes no falsehoods.
5. Therefore, open theism is false.

alexanderpruss.blogspot.com/2010/10/open-theism-and-divine-error.html
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Tom
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   Posted 10/23/2010 10:33 PM (GMT -6)    Quote This PostAlert An Admin About This Post.
Alex. Yeah. We've talked before. He hangs out on problogion.

T


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Tom
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   Posted 10/23/2010 10:47 PM (GMT -6)    Quote This PostAlert An Admin About This Post.
Well, there's been a good bit of discussion on this issue (Alan in on most of it too) over at prosblogion. Alex has published (or it's soon to be published) an article covering it, and Alan's already submitted a response (to be published). Alan can clear up the dates and publication info. I think it's all Faith & Philosophy.

But anyhow, Alex I don't think gets what some open theists argue along these lines. I say "some" because not all of us make the same 'semantic' argument on behalf of open theism. But Alex is familiar with our F&P article a few years ago, so I don't know if he's forgotten it, didn't get it then, or just pretends the arguments aren't there. But by way of response, I'd say:

It's not propositions that are probable or improbable. It's states of affairs (or the future occurring of some state of affairs) that may be said to be probable. So when he says p is overwhelminingly probable, he's already framing the argument in terms that ignore basic claims we make. A proposition is, for example, some truth claim, and given bivalence is either true or false. But given bivalence (which we hold to), what can be 'overwhelmingly probable' (objectively speaking) about a truth claim? Nothing that I can see. It's truth value isn't probable, for given bivalence, a prop's truth value is at any point in time determinately either true or false.

This point sends Alex off arguing against something that isn't necessary to open theism. Again, it's future states of affairs (their occuring or not occuring) which are probable or improbable (in terms of liklihood), not the truth value of propositions.

Tom


KIXYTΘEMTA

Post Edited (Tom) : 10/23/2010 10:50:26 PM (GMT-5)

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Tom
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   Posted 10/23/2010 10:55 PM (GMT -6)    Quote This PostAlert An Admin About This Post.
In the responses to Alex on his site, Brandon comes closest to exposing the weaknesses of Alex's argument.

Tom


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Tom
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   Posted 10/23/2010 11:17 PM (GMT -6)    Quote This PostAlert An Admin About This Post.
I think Alex still makes the argument that open theists attribute "false beliefs" to God because they say that a) since God assigns to propositions the level of creedance those props deserve (which I agree is true), and b) since propositions about an open future may (in the case of overwhelmingly probable SOA's) deserve a high degree of creedence (something may be 95% likely to occur), that God's responding to such props with a high level of creedence is a "false belief" when those events DON'T occur.

But that's not the case. One's belief that "X will likely occur" based on X's 90% probability of occuring does not become a false belief when X fails to occur.

Tom


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Similitude
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   Posted 10/24/2010 8:35 AM (GMT -6)    Quote This PostAlert An Admin About This Post.
Alex: 2. (Premise) If open theism is true, then some of the propositions that are overwhelmingly probable on the balance
of God's evidence are false.

Jeff: What would be an example of this claim?


 

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One Love
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   Posted 10/24/2010 9:38 AM (GMT -6)    Quote This PostAlert An Admin About This Post.
I think this is what some people feel...

If God can believe X to likely occur...if God TRULY BELIEVES with all his omnipresence, omniscience and all that that X will likely occur...and it doesn't...then God is as helpless before the future "twists of fate" as human beings are. Sure, he has the ability to make the most informed decision possible about a situation, but Omniscience itself doesn't preserve God against truly believing something that TURNS OUT not to come to pass.  God can fall prey to the heavily improbable possibility...at least in SOME cases.

Supposedly, that makes the open theistic God "hand-wringing" with anxiety.


Lord Jesus Christ, Son of God, have mercy on me, a sinner.

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Similitude
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   Posted 10/24/2010 9:44 AM (GMT -6)    Quote This PostAlert An Admin About This Post.
I don't even know what God supposedly saw as very probable that ended up not occurring. Are there verses they're alluding to in this regard?


 

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One Love
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   Posted 10/24/2010 10:16 AM (GMT -6)    Quote This PostAlert An Admin About This Post.
Similtude:
Are there verses they're alluding to in this regard?

I'll get the one I know well...

The Lord said to me in the days of King Josiah: “Have you seen what she did, that faithless one, Israel, how she went up on every high hill and under every green tree, and there played the whore? And I (the Lord)thought, ‘After she has done all this she will return to me,’ but she did not return, and her treacherous sister Judah saw it. She saw that for all the adulteries of that faithless one, Israel, I had sent her away with a decree of divorce. Yet her treacherous sister Judah did not fear, but she too went and played the whore. Because she took her whoredom lightly, she polluted the land, committing adultery with stone and tree. Yet for all this her treacherous sister Judah did not return to me with her whole heart, but in pretense, declares the Lord.”
Jeremiah 3:6-10

Just taken at face value, this seems to indicate that God ACTUALLY BELIEVED that Israel would do one thing (return to faithfulness), but Israel ended up doing ANOTHER thing (staying in idolatry)...something God DIDN'T think that would have happened "after she [Israel] has done all this."  So, supposedly God assigned a probability of Israel's turning back to him as "more likely to occur"...and REALLY, REALLY BELIEVED THAT...but it didn't turn out to happen.
 
Personally, it's really hard for me to see God as literally sustaining all things that exist by his DIRECT WORKING (Grace)...and be relatively ignorant of the predictability of fallen human psychology and sociology when it comes to these things.
 
yeah...


Lord Jesus Christ, Son of God, have mercy on me, a sinner.

Post Edited (One Love) : 10/24/2010 10:41:19 AM (GMT-5)

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Similitude
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   Posted 10/24/2010 1:05 PM (GMT -6)    Quote This PostAlert An Admin About This Post.
Alex uses the phrase "SOME of the propositions that are OVERWHELMINGLY probable" whereas you say of ONE incident ""MORE likely to occur." That's quite a relevant difference. Really improbable events do happen after all. Just not frequently.

On the other hand, there may be implied sarcasm in the verse. God may be saying, in effect, that had Judah had the sense to interpret the events that happened with Israel aright, Judah would have repented.

Either way, Alex is over-stating his case, it seems, if that's the only verse we have to go on.


 

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